6-4 again last week (maybe I should start picking more games, it would make my record look better since I only pick bigger games and upsets). That brings the season record to 54-26.
Game of the week - Texas vs Oklahoma St.
Texas has been dominant on offense all season, including the last two weeks. While the Oklahoma St. defense has been good of late (particularly against Missouri), they aren't ready for this and the offense isn't good enough to win a game like this on the road.
Texas 41, Oklahoma St. 28
Penn St. @ Ohio St.
Ohio St. finally maxed out last week against Michigan St. Nobody other than Texas has been able to do that two weeks in a row. Ohio St. won't max out against and that's what they would need to beat Penn St.
Penn St. 31, Ohio St. 20
Georgia @ LSU
The national title elimination game is huge for both teams, but much bigger for LSU. A loss here and the SEC Title hopes could be out the window as the Tigers would need two Alabama losses just to reach the SEC Title game. The homefield along with Georgia not needing to win to win the SEC carries LSU in a close game.
LSU 27, Georgia 23
Alabama @ Tennessee
There have been warning signs around Alabama for a few weeks. The close calls late against Kentucky and Ole Miss along with the lackluster second half against Georgia show a team not quite ready for national title contention. Too bad this year's Tennessee team is the worst in quite some time (yes, worse than the 5-6 2005 team).
Alabama 20, Tennessee 14
USC @ Arizona
Arizona screwed up its chances of winning this game by wining last week and losing the week before. Had it been the other way around, maybe USC overlooks them, but not coming off a win against Cal.
USC 41, Arizona 20
Virginia Tech @ Florida St.
Virginia Tech is just not what they normally are. The defense is its usual self, but the offense is even worse than normal and the special teams are atrocious. This combination means Florida St wins at home unless there is a Wake Forest-style meltdown on offense. That won't happen because the staff has committed to running the football.
Florida St. 24, Virginia Tech 13
Boston College @ North Carolina
North Carolina could have been the best team in the ACC had injuries not short-circuited them. On the other Boston College has been very lucky to even get to where they have. It looks like another ACC upset as the injury riddled team will beat the mistake riddled team because they are at home.
North Carolina 27, Boston College 20
Virginia @ Georgia Tech
Another game on the spinng wheel of ACC idiocy. Virginia was dead and buried less than a month ago. Now they might be the second best team in the league. The difference, Cedric Peerman. The running back was injured in the blowout loss to USC and didn't return until the Maryland game (31-0 win). He should be enough as the defense has looked good and the Georgia Tech option attack has been good but not great.
Virginia 17, Georgia Tech 14
Boise St. @ San Jose St.
This is the big trap game for Boise St. It's on a Friday night on the road at a place where they have struggled. One upset each weeks generally seems to come from out of nowhere. This is it.
San Jose St. 24, Boise St. 20
Auburn @ West Virginia
Before the season, this looked like one of the bigger games of the season. Now it is for conference pride and the ability to avoid joining Wisconsin and Clemson on the disappointment scrap heap. Both offenses have struggle in transition while the defenses have been good. The difference will be made by Alabama native Pat White who has been waiting years for this game.
West Virginia 16, Auburn 14
Editor's Note: Somehow, I missed the Kansas/Texas Tech game on the schedule, so I am adding it now on Thursday night. For those reading now, West Virginia has already steamrolled Auburn to the point we likely won't see them on this list again until the end of the season.
Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech hasn't been tested by a very good team, but I am not sure Kansas is a very good team. The defense has been suspect against the two best teams they have faced while the offense has lacked balance at times though it was good in the loss to Oklahoma last week. On the other side, Texas Tech has struggled (but still won) the last two weeks against inferior opposition. I think the Red Raiders will enter focused and pull off the tough road victory as Kansas still hasn't figured out how to defend the pass.
Texas Tech 42, Kansas 31
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