Aug 25, 2012

Vuelta Stage 8 - And it's a 4-man Race


Today's Stage: Another summit finish. This Vuelta isn't messing around.

Who won today's stage? Alejandro Valverde (Movistar) got his second stage win of the Vuelta, outkicking Joaquin Rodriguez (Katusha) and Alberto Contador (Saxo Bank-Tinkoff) at the line.

What matters in the GC race? We now know for certain that there are only four men who have a chance to win this Vuelta. Overall leader Joaquin Rodriguez; Chris Froome (Team Sky), 4th on the stage today and 2nd overall; Alberto Contador, 3rd on both the stage and overall; and stage winner Valverde, 4th overall. These four have been the guys there at the end of every summit finish except the one where Valverde was caught in the crash and these four are the only ones under a minute on GC.

What matters in the other competitions?
Green Jersey (Points) – John Degenkolb (Argos-Shimano) continues to lead, but with a mountain stage, his lead was cut to 10 points (25 is earned for a stage win). Valverde is second and Rodriguez is third.
Polka Dot Jersey (King of the Mountains, it's blue in Spain, not red) – By virtue of his win at the summit, Valverde assumed the lead from Simon Clarke (Orica-GreenEdge). The biggest question is where is David Moncoutie (Cofidis)? Moncoutie has won this classification the last four years, but has yet to score a point this year.
White Jersey (Allround, instead of young rider, calculated by adding the rankings in GC, Points and KoM, lowest score wins) – Rodriguez and Valverde are now tied, but both of them have another jersey to wear tomorrow. That means 3rd place Chris Froome will be wearing the white jersey. Have I ever mentioned how this jersey seems redundant given that someone who wins one of the other jerseys will often win this one too?
Team Classification (top 3 times by team on each stage) – Rabobank may not win the Vuelta, but their climbers are going well if not elite. The squad has three men in the top 10 overall and those three (Gesink, Ten Dam and Mollema) have paced Rabobank to a lead of 2'27” over AG2R La Mondiale. Sky, with its train and domestiques thing it does to set up its team leaders often loses time here on mountain stages despite having a very strong team and today is no exception. They dropped from leading to 3rd, 2'34” behind.

Biggest surprise: Igor Anton (Euskatel) was there near the end. A few days ago he was in the disappointment section for being dropped on a climb he probably shouldn't have been and then he was one of the first top GC men to crack on stage 6. Still, Anton was good today, losing only 33 second and finishing 7th on the stage to move back up to 8th overall.

Biggest disappointment: A challenger to the big four didn't appear today. It certainly seems as though there are others with the legs to challenge Rodriguez, Froome, Contador and Valverde, but they are teammates (Daniel Moreno of Katusha and the Uran/Henao pair for Team Sky). Other than that, there have been high hopes for a Dutch challenge by Gesnik or Mollema, but they have settled firmly into the second tier headed for a top ten finish. If anyone else wants to join this party, it will have to be quick (like on the time trial on Monday).

Other items of note: At the USA Pro Challenge, Tyler Farrar (Garmin-Sharp) got his second stage win of that race. The riders there have a true summit finish today followed by a time trial to decide things tomorrow. Should be a fun race to watch... Tomorrow brings an important prep race for the upcoming World Championships, the GP Ouest in France. Peter Sagan (Liquigas-Cannondale) will be back in action there.

What is coming tomorrow? Another sprint stage with a tricky category three climb near the end. If Argos-Shimano doesn't think John Degenkolb can get over the hill, they may not chase and a breakaway might be allowed to go for the second time in the Vuelta (Simon Clarke's win was from a breakaway that was nearly caught on the final climb).

Tomorrow's Prediction: Breakaway wins. Time for the stage hunters to come out and play.

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