Aug 31, 2012

Vuelta Stage 13 Review - Breakaway stay away as High Mountains Loom


Today's Stage: A transitional sprint stage before the mountains. Breakaway or sprint was possible instead of the inevitable sprints of previous flatter stages.

Who won today's stage? Steve Cummings (BMC) attacked from the breakaway with four km to go and made it stick as someone with his track background should if in a breakaway.

What matters in the GC race? Nothing. All the contenders finished in the main group. Joaquin Rodriguez (Katusha) continues to lead Alberto Contador (Saxo Bank-Tinkoff) by 13 seconds.

What matters in the other competitions?
Green Jersey (Points) – Sadly for John Degenkolb (Argos-Shimano), the breakaway consisted of a group of really strong riders and they stayed away. This cost him a chance at another stage win and it cost him in the points chase as he still trails overall leader Rodriguez going into three high mountain days where he will never score points and Rodriguez will.
Polka Dot Jersey (King of the Mountains, it's blue in Spain, not red) – The day was climbless. Therefore, Alejandro Valverde (Movistar) continues to lead over Rodriguez before the next three days remake the classification. Expect David Moncoutie (Cofidis), the four time defending champion in this category, in the break tomorrow looking for points and his annual stage win.
White Jersey (Allround, instead of young rider, calculated by adding the rankings in GC, Points and KoM, lowest score wins) – With Rodriguez leading or second in every category, he will lead this until he cracks. If he does crack, Valverde is the likely beneficiary.
Team Classification (top 3 times by team on each stage) – Flat stages just don't do much in this category. Rabobank still leads.

Biggest surprise: The break stayed away. All day long, the breakaway never got a huge advantage. Still, they stayed away as nobody wanted to help Degenkolb's Argos-Shimano team get another win. Among the other sprinters at the Vuelta, Ben Swift (Team Sky) is freelancing on a team built around Chris Froome, Allan Davis (Orica-GreenEdge) had two teammates in the breakaway, Nacer Bouhanni (FDJ) left the race injured after being involved in the big crash yesterday and Elia Viviani (Liquigas) went into the break himself (he was dropped by the other six in the final 10 km).

Biggest disappointment: Disappointment? No way. There is no disappointment today. Degenkolb's wins have been of the soul-killing boredom variety. So having a tension filled finish where the break stayed away and no GC men lost time means a happy stage today.

Other items of note: Other than Bouhanni, two other riders left the race today. They were Morris Possoni (Lampre) and Hayden Roulston (RSNT)... Interestingly, today's stage winner Cummings was the only British rider entered at the Tour de France who failed to win a stage. The others (Wiggins, Froome, Cavendish and Millar) all won at least one in France.

What is coming tomorrow? Circle of Death, part 1. Three small climbs before a category one climb and then a finish atop the category one Puerto de Ancares. Last year, the race climbed the Puerto de Ancares in the middle of stage 13 won by Michael Albasini (then HTC-High Road, now Orica-GreenEdge).

Tomorrow's Prediction: Alberto Contador will finally show his true power and win the stage, but Rodriguez and Valverde will be close.

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