Jul 20, 2012

Tour de France Stage 18 Review - Cavendish Destroys Sprint Field


Today’s stage: Rolling hills, Most thought breakaway. I thought sprint. I was right.

Who won today’s stage? Mark Cavendish (Team Sky) launched an amazing sprint destroying the other sprinters and passing the other two breakaway riders before the line to take the stage easily.

What matters in the GC race? Nothing. Nothing at all. This was a day for GC contenders to stay in the group and conserve energy before the time trial tomorrow.

What matters in other competitions?
Green Jersey (Points) – Not much. Peter Sagan (Liquigas) was 3rd on the stage and extended his lead further, not that he needed to.
Polka Dot Jersey (King of the Mountains) – Thomas Voeckler (Europcar) had already clinched this competition over Fredrik Kessiakoff (Astana) at the beginning of the stage. All Voeckler must do is finish in Paris.
White Jersey (Best Young Rider) – Tejay van Garderen (BMC) has nearly wrapped this up. Only a time trial crash could deny him considering his only rival Thibaut Pinot (FDJ) is not a great time trialist.
Team Classification (Calculated by added the three best times on each team each day) – No changes. This goes to the time trial. RSNT leads Team Sky by 14’ 05. In the first time trial, Sky won the stage over RSNT by 1’ 26, but that was with everyone except Froome and Wiggins slow pedaling and Fabian Cancellara was still in the race. Given that Cancellara is no longer around and Sky riders Richie Porte and Michael Rogers are elite time trialists, there is a chance that Sky could make up that gap.

Biggest surprise: The break never really formed. All day there were small attacks and groups got away, but nobody ever got over three minutes as the peloton seemed intent on a sprint. It was almost as though the sprinter teams didn’t even want to risk another Sky controlled slow pedal day allowing the break to win by 10 minutes and so they decided the best way to avoid was to not allow the break to ever go anywhere.

Biggest disappointment: None. The actions of the peloton not letting a break go and chasing the constant attacks made for a fast and entertaining stage. The constitution of the attacks with big names like Luis Leon Sanchez (Rabobank) and Alexandre Vinokourov (Astana) made for entertaining, attacking riding.

Other items of note: All of the jerseys are pretty much secure. It’s not often this happens in the Tour de France before the final time trial (though the KoM is always decided by this point)…The final podium is pretty much set with Bradley Wiggins, Chris Froome and VIncenzo Nibali. This has been more normal over the years despite the recent years of having GC battles in the final time trial… For those teams that don’t have a win, it is probably over for them. Only Orica-GreenEdge with perpetual second place Matt Goss has any chance from among the non-stage winning teams has any chance to win a stage… Poor Luis Leon Sanchez. While he did get his stage win, it was on the tacks stage so nobody remembers. Other than that, he crashed and damaged his wrist on stage 1 and he was chased down by Sky twice on late attacks that looked promising.

What is coming tomorrow? Time trial. Flat. Built for specialists. This is Bradley Wiggins territory, especially with Cancellara and Tony Martin out of the race.

Tomorrow’s prediction: 1. Bradley Wiggins 2. Chris Froome 3. Tejay van Gerderen

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