Jul 2, 2012

Tour de France Burning Questions - Stage 2


No that burning is no the yellow helmets for the leaders of the team classification. More on that later.

1 What is Fabian Cancellara's role in animating this race?
Fabian Cancellara (RSNT) is in an interesting place. He is not a high mountain climber. He is a major time trial threat in a race with a lot of time trial kms. He is also the leader of the race. And he's racing on a team that seems to be in total disarray, at least as far as GC is concerned. While Cancellara is not the GC leader of his team, he is in 3rd place in the points competition and could score more tomorrow with a similar finish to stage 1 where he was 2nd. If that happens again and with the time trial, is it possible Cancellara and his RSNT team mount a point assault? It could happen, especially if the sprinters start trying to conserve energy for the Olympics and don't contest all of week 2's sprint checkpoints.

2 What is the impact of these classic-like stages we have been seeing over the last few years?
Both Stages 1 and 3 look and act more like classics than normal stage race stages. Last year had a couple of these classic-like short climb finishes and 2010 had a Paris-Roubaix like cobblestone stage. The impact on the race has been positive. For one thing, the entire first week is no longer a procession of sprints. While there is a place for sprints and a lot of them, it's bad when sprints are every day of the first week as they often can be when the parcours are unimaginative. At the very least, these stages make a breakaway a possibility instead of a doomed exercise in suffering for those involved. It also can upend the GC at least a bit giving us more of a pecking order and that is needed with no time bonuses to separate matters any longer. For examples on GC, just look at the Paris-Roubaix stage in 2010 where Cancellara drove Andy Schleck to a time gain that helped Schleck immensely in his tour bid (that was ultimately doomed by Chain-gate then given to Schleck because of Contador's doping DQ). This year already, Thomas Voeckler (Europcar) and Chris Horner (RSNT) were caught out yesterday on Stage 1 and lost time. If nothing else, the pretenders are eliminated early and turned into stage hunters well before they normally would be. I have no problem with that.

3 Are the overall contenders going to attack tomorrow?
The non-time trial men among the overall contenders need to gain time somewhere, even if it's only a few second here and there. With 5 short categorized climbs compressed at the end of the route tomorrow, it seems like a good day to attack if the legs are good, especially with a few days of sprinting upcoming. Still, with the exception of Vincenzo Nibali (Liquigas) and Samuel Sanchez (Euskatel), none of the overall contenders that lack high end time trial skills are know for their big attacks. It makes me wonder if there is going to be a GC staring contest while the breakaway rides up the road and takes the stage win (this result would surely anger current yellow jersey Fabian Cancellara).

4 Given that the Team Time Trial is normally around this time, which contenders will miss it and which are glad it's gone?
Chief among those who will miss it is Ryder Hesjedal (Garmin-Sharp). His team's early TTT success helped move him into the GC contenders at his Giro d'Italia win in May and the Garmin team has made TTT success a hallmark of what they have done since the squad was formed. Cadel Evans (BMC) will also miss the TTT in part because his team has a couple of other strong TT'ers on it.
Among those who are happy to see it not included are Samuel Sanchez (Euskatel). Sanchez rides on a team that is, at best, allergic to time trialing (seriously, being a Basque climber generally means riding a good time trial is against team regulations). For the first time in a long time, Sanchez isn't starting with a 2 minute disadvantage on GC.

5 Can we get rid of the awful yellow helmets already?
Seriously, these things are crimes against fashion and humanity. Can we get rid of them before a team like Lampre gets a hold of them, please. Just imagine the pain that would cause the eyes. As for so far, here is Team Sky wearing them. They aren't so bad there, at least in comparison to what could happen. **shudders**

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