Results
Last Week: SU: 4-6 ATS: 2-8 (and this is why I no longer live in Vegas...)
Season: SU: 17-13 ATS: 13-16-1
Game of the Week – West Virginia vs LSU (-6.5) in the game most likely to cause drunken rage
West Virginia matches up better with LSU than previous victims Oregon and Mississippi St. Of course they are still a spread offense and LSU seems to have a defense specifically designed to eat spread offenses alive. With that, the LSU offense will cobble together enough points again, just like last week, but they'll cut it a lot closer this time.
LSU 21, West Virginia 20
Texas A&M (-4) vs Oklahoma St., now not likely to be SEC vs Pac-1?
Oklahoma St. has looked great so far, on offense. On defense, not so much. That will catch up to them here. A&M has looked solid on offense if not great and really good on defense. Playing at home, I like the Aggies to win the inevitable shootout that this game is every year.
Texas A&M 37, Oklahoma St. 35
Alabama (-11.5) vs Arkansas
Arkansas was outgained at home by Troy last week. Considering Arkansas's offense was near 500 total yards, this isn't good. Alabama's defense will limit the Arkansas offense and the Arkansas defense won't have enough answers, even though Alabama will still lack a true downfield passing game.
Alabama 27, Arkansas 17
Clemson (-2.5) vs Florida St.
We have no idea who Florida St.'s quarterback will be come game time after the injury suffered by EJ Manuel against Oklahoma. If I had to bet, I think Clint Trickett will be the quarterback. As for Clemson, we still have no idea if they're any good. They became the 3rd out of three teams to eviscerate Auburn's defense and the first to win in part because the defense played well, especially in the 2nd half. Given Manuel's injury and uncertain status, I think Clemson will somehow win considering they are nearly full strength and the Auburn win can be a springboard (as opposed to the boat anchor losing to them was last year). But don't bet the farm on it. This is Clemson we are talking about here and Florida St.'s defense is really, really good.
Clemson 24, Florida St. 17
Arizona St. (-2.5) vs USC
USC finally got the offense in gear against Syracuse. Good thing too since they will need it to keep up with Arizona St.'s offense, that is if Arizona St. is done feeling the skid marks from the Illinois truck that hit them last week. This week's game will come down to the mental side of the game. Can Arizona St. not commit dumb penalties and make idiotic mistakes. Can USC take advantage if/when those mistakes come and will Lane Kiffin finally not go for two early in the game? The answers to those, USC will somehow win the game because Arizona St. just can't stand prosperity.
USC 31, Arizona St. 28
Oklahoma (-21) vs Missouri
I still think Missouri is good, even with the mind-numbing loss to Arizona St. a couple of weeks back. That said, this was the game I gave them no shot in before the season. Nothing has changed. Missouri doesn't have the talent needed to beat Oklahoma in Norman. Especially in a revenge game after pulling the big upset last year.
Oklahoma 44, Missouri 24
South Carolina (-16) vs Vanderbilt
Vandy is in a big game. This doesn't happen often. And given how South Carolina has played, the Commodores could actually win. Emphasis on could. They won't. Marcus Lattimore will get his million carries again before he breaks down later in the season and South Carolina will win yet another uninspiring game that leaves pundits and bloggers wondering if they are really even the SEC East favorites any longer.
South Carolina 20, Vanderbilt 17
Washington (-1) vs Cal
Shootout coming. Washington scores a lot of points and plays no defense. Cal does the same. When in doubt, pick the home team with the better running game and an equal quarterback.
Washington 45, Cal 35
Michigan (-10) vs San Diego St.
Brady Hoke gets the uncomfortable task of playing his former team in year one, when most of his players are still there. In addition, the Aztecs are pretty good, carrying a 3-0 record into this game. That doesn't matter though. Hoke knows these players and the system. San Diego St. only knows the system and has less talent. Michigan wins, but it will be quite difficult.
Michigan 31, San Diego St. 23
Ohio St. (-16) vs Colorado
This is no pushover for the Buckeyes if they can't get the passing game going. I expect they will in the Horseshoe, but Colorado can throw it around the field quite well. They just can't stop anyone else from doing it.
Ohio St. 30, Colorado 20
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