Dec 13, 2010

College Football Computer Rankings – Final Regular Season


I know these are a week after the BCS. I don't care. The Army-Navy game matters in the computers and if you don't believe one game can change things, look at the controversy that one FCS playoff game caused when its omission kept Boise St. from being ranked correctly in front of LSU in the BCS Standings (the official standings were changed).

With each team will be its conference standing according to the computer and its overall record. There are some major differences from both the BCS computers and the human polls. I suspect that is because this formula values schedules almost as much as victories. As a note, Boise St. would have likely finished 5th in front of Ohio St. had they beaten Nevada. As for Oklahoma, the computer loves the Big 12 this season (mirroring the BCS computers) and the win over Florida St. is one of the most valuable non-conference victories of the season (along with Boise St. over Virginia Tech, Arkansas over Texas A&M and Notre Dame over Utah). Also, Auburn is such a dominant number one here that had they lost to South Carolina, they would still likely be the top team and would certainly be no worse than number two.

Top 25
1 Auburn – SEC #1, 13-0
2 Oklahoma – Big 12 #1, 11-2
3 Oregon – Pac 10 #1, 12-0
4 Stanford – Pac 10 #2, 11-1
5 Ohio St. – Big 10 #1, 11-1
6 TCU – MWC #1, 12-0
7 Missouri – Big 12 #2, 10-2
8 LSU – SEC #2, 10-2
9 Michigan St. – Big 10 #2, 11-1
10 Wisconsin – Big 10 #3, 11-1
11 Boise St. – WAC #1, 11-1
12 Virginia Tech – ACC #1, 11-2
13 Oklahoma St. – Big 12 #3, 10-2
14 Arkansas – SEC #3, 10-2
15 Texas A&M – Big 12 #4, 9-3
16 Nevada – WAC #2, 12-1
17 Alabama – SEC #4, 9-3
18 Nebraska – Big 12 #5, 10-3
19 Utah – MWC #2, 10-2
20 Florida St. – ACC #2, 9-4
21 West Virginia – Big East #1, 9-3
22 South Carolina – SEC #5, 9-4
23 Navy – Ind #1, 9-3
24 NC State – ACC #3, 8-4
25 USC – Pac 10 #3, 8-5

Conference Rankings (including FCS conferences)

This section will include the best and worst teams in each league and their rankings just to get a snapshot of the range teams in each conference fell into. This takes into account games through last weekend meaning it includes the Army-navy game, SWAC championship and FCS Quarterfinal games played over the weekend.

1 Big 12 – Best Team: Oklahoma (2), Worst Team: Kansas (105)
2 SEC – Best Team: Auburn (1), Worst Team: Vanderbilt (157)
3 Big 10 – Best Team: Ohio St. (5), Worst Team: Minnesota (127)
4 Pac-10 – Best Team: Oregon (3), Worst Team: Washington St. (133)
5 FBS Independents – Navy (23), Notre Dame (27), Army (101)
6 ACC – Best Team: Virginia Tech (12), Worst Team: Wake Forest (128)
7 Big East – Best Team: West Virginia (21), Worst Team: Rutgers (122)
8 WAC – Best Team: Boise St. (11), Worst Team: San Jose St. (193)
9 Mountain West – Best Team: TCU (6), Worst Team: New Mexico (195)
10 FCS Colonial (CAA) – Best Team: Delaware (31), Worst Team: Towson (213)
11 Conference USA – Best Team: Tulsa (38), Worst Team: Memphis (201)
12 FCS Southern – Best Team: Appalachian St. (56), Worst Team: Citadel (203)
13 MAC – Best Team: Northern Illinois (53), Worst Team: Akron (218)
14 FCS Missouri Valley – Best Team: North Dakota St. (98), Worst Team: Youngstown St. (198)
15 FCS Independents – Old Dominion (117), Georgia St. (132), Lamar (194)
16 FCS Big Sky – Best Team: Eastern Washington (62), Worst Team: Idaho St. (233)
17 FCS Southland – Best Team: Stephen F. Austin (81), Worst Team: SE Louisiana (229)
18 FCS Ivy League – Best Team: Penn (67), Worst Team: Princeton (238)
19 FCS SWAC – Best Team: Texas Southern (82), Worst Team: Mississippi Valley St. (242)
20 Sun Belt – Best Team: Troy (115), Worst Team: Western Kentucky (212)
21 FCS Ohio Valley – Best Team: Jacksonville St. (85), Worst Team: Austin Peay (231)
22 FCS Northeast (NEC) – Best Team: Robert Morris (100), Worst Team: St. Francis (PA) (239)
23 FCS Great West – Best Team: UC Davis (140), Worst Team: North Dakota (216)
24 FCS Patriot – Best Team: Lehigh (84), Worst Team: Bucknell (241)
25 FCS Pioneer – Best Team: Jacksonville (87), Worst Team: Valparaiso (240 and would be worse, much worse if margin of victory was considered)
26 FCS MEAC – Best Team: Bethune-Cookman (102), Worst Team: Howard (244 and Last, 243 North Carolina A&T is also in this league)
27 FCS Big South – Best Team: Liberty (143), Worst Team: Presbyterian (234)

Yes, I know that most of the FBS teams can beat most of the FCS teams. It's just that pretty much all of the FCS teams that would have any chance whatsoever in games against the bottom half of FBS leagues are all in the same conferences in the FCS. The CAA, Southern, Missouri Valley and Big Sky have pretty much had the market cornered on the FCS title for awhile now and that isn't going to change. Remember also that James Madison, conqueror of Virginia Tech, finished 8th out of 10 teams in the CAA. That league in particular has some very good teams it (Villanova didn't win that league either and they were unlucky to beat Temple, a team that finished ranked 61 despite its lack of a bowl bid).

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